Great Predictions
Some predictions come true; others do not. And some are so far "off the mark" that you can't believe they were ever uttered.
- "Man will never reach the moon regardless of all future scientific advances."
- Dr. Lee DeForest, "Father of Radio & Grandfather of Television."
- "The bomb will never go off. I speak as an expert in explosives."
- Admiral William Leahy, US Atomic Bomb Project.
- "There is no likelihood man can ever tap the power of the atom."
- Robert Millikan, Nobel Prize in Physics, 1923.
- "Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons."
- Popular Mechanics, forecasting the relentless march of science, 1949.
- "I think there is a world market for maybe five computers ."
- Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943.
- "I have traveled the length and breadth of this country and talked with the best people, and I can assure you that data processing is a fad that won't last out the year."
- The editor in charge of business books for Prentice Hall, 1957.
- "But what is it good for?"
- Engineer at the Advanced Computing Systems Division of IBM, 1968, commenting on the microchip.
- "640K ought to be enough for anybody."
- Bill Gates, 1981
- "This
telephonehas too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us," - Western Union internal memo, 1876.
- "The wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value. Who would pay for a message sent to nobody in particular?"
- David Sarnoff's associates in response to his urgings for investment in the radio in the 1920s.
- "The concept is interesting and well-formed, but in order to earn better than a
C,the idea must be feasible," - A Yale University management professor in response to Fred Smith's paper proposing reliable overnight delivery service. (Smith went on to found Federal Express Corp.)
- "I'm just glad it'll be Clark Gable who's falling on his face and not Gary Cooper,"
- Gary Cooper on his decision not to take the leading role in "Gone With The Wind."
- "A cookie store is a bad idea. Besides, the market research reports say America likes crispy cookies, not soft and chewy cookies like you make,"
- Response to Debbi Fields' idea of starting Mrs. Fields' Cookies.
- "We don't like their sound, and guitar music is on the way out,"
- Decca Recording Co. rejecting the Beatles, 1962.
- "Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible,"
- Lord Kelvin, president, Royal Society, 1895.
- "If I had thought about it, I wouldn't have done the experiment. The literature was full of examples that said you can't do this,"
- Spencer Silver on the work that led to the unique adhesives for 3-M "Post-It" Notepads.
- "Drill for oil? You mean drill into the ground to try and find oil? You're crazy,"
- Drillers who Edwin L. Drake tried to enlist to his project to drill for oil in 1859.
- "Stocks have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau."
- Irving Fisher, Professor of Economics, Yale University, 1929.
- "Airplanes are interesting toys but of no military value,"
- Marechal Ferdinand Foch, Professor of Strategy, Ecole Superieure de Guerre, France.
- "Everything that can be invented has been invented,"
- Charles H. Duell, Commissioner, US Office of Patents, 1899.
- "The super computer is technologically impossible. It would take all of the water that flows over Niagara Falls to cool the heat generated by the number of vacuum tubes required."
- Professor of Electrical Engineering, New York University.
- "I don't know what use any one could find for a machine that would make copies of documents. It certainly couldn't be a feasible business by itself."
- the head of IBM, refusing to back the idea, forcing the inventor to found Xerox.
- "Louis Pasteur's theory of germs is ridiculous fiction."
- Pierre Pachet, Professor of Physiology at Toulouse, 1872 .
- "The abdomen, the chest, and the brain will forever be shut from the intrusion of the wise and humane surgeon,"
- Sir John Eric Ericksen, British surgeon, appointed Surgeon-Extraordinary to Queen Victoria 1873.
And last but not least...
- "There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home."
- Ken Olson, president, chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp., 1977.
So much for the "Wise Minds"......